7 AI predictions for 2024 you may not have heard about
As we start 2024, the realm of AI continues to unfurl with unpredictable and exciting prospects. Plenty has been written about the key developments and their impact on government elections, ethics, education, labour markets and more.
While these mainstream themes garner most of the limelight, it's the less visible undercurrents that often herald the most intriguing shifts in the AI landscape. In this blog, we delve into seven intriguing predictions for AI in 2024 — those not immediately apparent or dominating headlines, yet poised to fuel significant developments. From the emergence of nascent technologies to the subtle shifts in AI governance, we're peeling back the layers to reveal the nuanced evolutions that could shape our digital future.
1. A key AI building block gets smarter
In the ever-evolving world of AI, the "transformer" stands out as a remarkable architecture. It's the building block behind many of the popular chatbots that appeared in 2023 (the "T" in Chat GPT stands for "transformer"), and is the deep learning model that fundamentally changed how machines understand and generate human-like text. Unlike its predecessors, transformers can consider the context of each word in a sentence all at once, making them particularly adept at tasks like translation, summarization, and of course chatbot conversation. Their ability to handle long sequences of data and maintain context has made them the backbone of many AI systems today.
However, as the AI landscape continually shifts so does the quest for more efficient models. In 2024, we're anticipating the rise of alternative technologies that promise to outperform transformers in certain aspects, in particular the accuracy, speed and cost to handle large amounts of data. Contenders include liquid neural networks, which can adjust their connections and processing paths as new data comes in, and are particularly good at dealing with information that changes over time like video and sound.
Others include Mamba, a model which rather than processing all data equally, optimises a variety of techniques such as sampling, data hierarchies and spatial modelling to only process selective data, making it faster, able to operate with less computational complexity, and run at a lower cost. Rather than process data in parallel as regular transformers do, most of these emerging models seek to process data asynchronously in some way, to reduce the complexity, compute power and cost. While transformers won't vanish overnight, these emerging technologies suggest a future where AI is even more diverse and powerful.
The shift from transformers to more efficient AI models matters as it could lead to faster, more accurate processing and less resource use, making AI more accessible and environmentally friendly. This is crucial to applications that have heavy-duty real time data processing requirements, such as driverless cars, wearable AI and in-home robotics. These new models may also better handle complex tasks and longer data sequences, broadening AI's applications and making it more intuitive. As AI becomes more integrated into daily life, these advancements are important for progress and innovation.
2. Data platforms deliver a jump in AI processing speed
In 2024, we'll witness a significant shift in the data landscape, with every major data platform launching its “vector” data solution. But what does this mean in simple terms? Think of vectors as a smart way of organizing and understanding data. In the real world, vectors help you know not just where you are (magnitude) but also where you're headed (direction). In the digital realm, vectors don't just store information; they understand its context and direction, making large quantities of data more meaningful for AI.
Data platforms are adopting these solutions because they dramatically improve how AI systems operate. By providing context-rich information, vectors allow AI to make more accurate predictions and decisions, akin to how a well-informed human expert would. This is crucial for applications ranging from recommending your next favorite movie to making vital business decisions or even diagnosing diseases more accurately. Purpose-built vector database providers like Weaviate and zilliz have been around for some years, but we’re now seeing platforms like Databricks, Google's TensorFlow and Facebook's PyTorch integrating vector solutions to enhance their machine learning capabilities.
This evolution matters immensely for AI's development. With better data comes better AI - more intuitive, efficient, and capable. As every data platform adopts vector solutions, AI's ability to understand and interact with the world will leap forward, making technologies of the future like self-driving cars, personalized medicine, and advanced robotics more viable and effective.
3. AI Agents talk to each other
In the near future, we can expect a world where AI "agents" — programs with specific skills and knowledge — will start talking and working together, much like a team of experts. Instead of just helping with personal tasks like writing emails or shopping for groceries, these agents will begin communicating with each other to accomplish more complex goals. This change is significant because businesses could start selling and trading the services of their AI agents, much like they currently do with data and software.
Imagine AI agents from companies like OpenTable and Uber figuring out tasks together to make for a well-planned evening out, or from HubSpot and Shopify coordinating sales and digital marketing tasks. This kind of direct collaboration between agents will reduce the friction between tasks, particularly mundane ones. These relationships will likely some kind of oversight as they become more sophisticated, and so there may yet be new types of services that emerge to manage and monitor these AI agents. Essentially, we're looking at the birth of a new digital ecosystem where AI agents collaborate, leading to unprecedented levels of automation and efficiency.
4. AI processing expands from the cloud to personal devices
The world of AI is on the brink of a revolutionary leap forward, not because of some distant supercomputer, but due to the tiny chips in our everyday devices. These powerful chips, known as “edge” AI chips, are bringing processing power right to the user's fingertips. Imagine your phone understanding and responding to your needs in real-time, without having to 'phone home' to distant servers in the cloud. This is the promise of on-device processing, and it’s not just for phones, but for watches, glasses, shoes and all kinds of wearables that can be made much smarter.
Traditionally, AI has relied on cloud-based processing, where data is sent to a remote server, processed, and sent back. This works, but it's slow and often expensive. As powerful chips become more common in devices, AI processing is moving from the cloud right into your hands. This means faster responses, improved privacy (since data doesn't leave your device), and lower costs, as there's less need to maintain massive data centres.
Companies like Qualcomm, NVIDIA and Intel are leading this shift, investing heavily in technologies that enable on-device AI. The result? Your personal tech will soon be smarter, understanding your speech, recognizing faces, executing simple tasks for you, all without breaking a sweat.
This shift matters for AI's development because it makes AI more personal, immediate, and accessible. As devices become more capable, we can expect AI to become an even more seamless part of our daily lives, enhancing everything from personal health monitoring to real-time language translation. The future isn't just about more powerful AI; it's about more personal, immediate, and accessible intelligence, right in your pocket.
5. "Algorithmic auditing" goes mainstream
Algorithmic auditing could become the cornerstone of the AI industry in 2024, marking a significant shift toward transparency and accountability. Algorithmic auditing is essentially a thorough examination of algorithms to ensure they are fair, unbiased, and functioning as intended. As AI becomes more integrated into our lives, from healthcare decisions to financial services, the need to ensure these systems are trustworthy has never been more critical.
The driving force behind the rise of algorithmic auditing is the growing complexity and opacity of AI systems. As these systems make more decisions, the potential for harm from biases or errors increases. Auditing seeks to mitigate these risks by assessing algorithms for issues like discrimination, privacy breaches, and security vulnerabilities.
Leading this charge are specialized firms like Trullion, MindBridge and BABL, offering dedicated auditing services. These providers stand to gain as businesses and regulators alike recognize the importance of ethical AI. The opportunities here are immense: not only can auditing prevent harmful outcomes and build public trust, but it can also spur innovation by identifying inefficiencies and areas for improvement.
However, the path forward isn't without challenges. Auditing complex AI systems requires deep expertise and can be resource-intensive. There's also the threat of resistance from companies wary of revealing proprietary information or from those that benefit from the status quo.
The impact on the AI industry will be profound. Algorithmic auditing could become a standard part of the AI development lifecycle, much like quality assurance in software development. It might also influence the design of future AI systems, with developers prioritizing transparency and auditability from the outset.
In essence, as we venture deeper into the age of AI, algorithmic auditing stands as a beacon of responsibility, guiding the industry toward a future where technology not only possesses intelligence but also integrity.
6. Next-Gen AI chips re-energise the mobile phone industry
The mobile phone industry is on the cusp of a transformation, driven by a new generation of AI-specific chips. These chips are not just another incremental upgrade; they represent a seismic shift in what phones can do. In simple terms, these chips are like turbocharged engines for your phone, allowing it to think, learn, and adapt faster than ever before.
For instance, imagine your phone recognizing faces in photos instantly, offering to book movie tickets based on your messages, or automatically notifying others if you’re running late for a meeting. This is the future AI chips are unlocking. As these capabilities become more mainstream, we'll see a surge in demand for newer, smarter phones, spurring fresh upgrade cycles.
This technological leap isn't just a race among phones. Operating system providers, chip manufacturers, retailers, and app developers are all vying for a piece of the AI pie. Phone manufacturers want to create the most intelligent devices, OS providers aim to offer the smoothest, most intuitive experiences, and chip manufacturers are competing to produce the most powerful, efficient chips. Meanwhile, app makers are eager to harness this new power to create applications we've never seen before.
For end-users, this means more personalized, efficient, and capable devices. Your phone will understand you better and make your life easier in ways you might not even notice. But the impact goes beyond convenience. As AI becomes more integrated into our daily lives through our phones, it will continue to learn, improve, and evolve, driving the overall development of AI. This isn't just about smarter phones; it's about paving the way for a future where AI enhances every aspect of our lives.
7. AI regulation arrives, but only after disrupted 2024 elections
As we enter 2024, the rapid pace of AI development is expected to continue unchecked, presenting significant challenges for government intervention and regulatory oversight, especially concerning the quality of AI content in the context of elections in major democratic countries. Several factors contribute to this prediction.
Firstly, the sheer speed at which AI technology evolves outpaces the typically slower governmental processes. By the time regulations are debated, drafted, and implemented, the technology has often moved on, rendering the rules outdated or irrelevant. For example, deepfake technology has advanced so rapidly that it's now possible to create highly convincing fake videos of public figures, a tool that could be misused in election campaigns before legislation can catch up.
Secondly, the global nature of AI development complicates jurisdictional authority. Major AI firms operate internationally, and content often crosses borders effortlessly. A regulatory action in one country might simply push problematic practices into jurisdictions with looser regulations. The 2016 U.S. elections highlighted the international challenges of regulating online content, with foreign entities allegedly using social media to influence voter perceptions.
Furthermore, the complexity and opacity of AI algorithms make enforcement difficult. Understanding how an AI system made a particular decision or produced a specific piece of content often requires expertise that regulatory bodies lack. This "black box" nature of AI systems means that even if regulations exist, ensuring compliance is a significant challenge.
Lastly, there's the issue of political will and lobbying. The AI industry is economically powerful and has a vested interest in maintaining a light-touch regulatory environment. This influence can lead to watered-down regulations that fail to address the core issues effectively.
Certainly there is legislation in the pipeline, but it may not be enough nor in time. The recent EU draft bill, for example, contains various 6 and 12 month compliance windows, while US federal and state legislation also contains loopholes, including how to address any grass roots AI content that can go viral.
In the context of elections, these challenges mean that AI-generated misinformation, deepfakes, and targeted advertising driven by AI could continue to proliferate, influencing voters under the radar of regulators.
While the need for effective regulation of AI is clear, especially to safeguard the integrity of democratic processes, the likelihood of such regulation catching up with the technology in 2024 remains low. As such, the failure to protect democratic processes properly in 2024 will precipitate more active legislation and industry best practices in the immediate years that follow.
Embracing AI's unseen potential
Looking at our list of AI predictions for 2024, it's clear that we stand at the threshold of a transformative era. Beyond the mainstream updates that are commonly expected of AI, there are some underlying improvements that will further accelerate its adoption: faster processing speeds from new architecture and models, more powerful on-device AI edge chips, competition in the mobile industry, collaboration directly between AI agents, and better bias-correction, security, privacy from algorithmic auditing. Together, these are not just technological updates; they represent a redefinition of how we interact with machines and how they, in turn, understand us.
As we move forward into 2024 and beyond, the key takeaway is not just in the predictions themselves but in our response to them. The opportunity lies in harnessing these developments to create a more efficient, empathetic, and ethical digital future. As individuals, businesses, and societies, our challenge is to navigate this new dawn with foresight, responsibility, and an unyielding commitment to the betterment of humanity.
So while the path of AI is fraught with complexity and unpredictability, one thing remains certain: the future is being written now, and we all have a role to play in its story. Let's step into 2024 with the knowledge, curiosity, and optimism to make it a year of positive transformation.